Avery CountyNews

Wally the Woolly Worm Predicts a Cold, Snowy Start to Winter

Last Updated on October 18, 2026 10:39 am

BANNER ELK — Wally, the winning woolly worm at this year’s Woolly Worm Festival, is calling for a cold and snowy start to winter.

Festival officials released the champion’s prediction after the race. Wally’s coat is read one segment at a time, with each segment matching a week of winter.

Wally’s 13-week forecast

According to the festival’s reading, Wally’s first segment is black, which stands for below-average temperatures and snow in week 1. Weeks 2 and 3 are amber, which points to average temperatures. Week 4 is a fleck, a mix of colors that signals below-average temperatures with snow or frost.

Weeks 5 through 12 are all amber, so the prediction calls for average temperatures through the heart of winter. Week 13 is a fleck again, which means a chilly finish.

WeekWorm colorWhat it means
Week 1BlackBelow-average temps and snow
Week 2AmberAverage temps (20°–40°)
Week 3AmberAverage temps (20°–40°)
Week 4FleckBelow average, with snow or frost
Weeks 5–12AmberAverage temps (20°–40°)
Week 13FleckBelow average, with snow or frost

How to read a woolly worm

The festival’s key assigns a meaning to each color. Black means below-average temperatures and snow. Dark brown means below-average temperatures. Amber means average temperatures of 20° to 40°. Light brown means above-average temperatures. A fleck, or mix of colors, means below-average temperatures with snow or frost.

Each segment of the winning woolly worm corresponds with that week of winter.

Whether the forecast holds up is anyone’s guess, but folks in the High Country will be watching the sky. Do you trust Wally’s forecast?

Photos and prediction courtesy of the Woolly Worm Festival.

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